The Las Vegas Review Journal is reporting that Harry Reid's chances of being reelected in 2010 is very low.
Reid's numbers are pretty ugly, according to the latest survey by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, which interviewed 625 registered Nevada voters by telephone Jan. 5-7. The margin of error on the poll is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
According to the survey:
• 52 percent had an unfavorable opinion of Reid, 33 percent had a favorable view and another 15 percent said they're neutral. In early December, a Mason-Dixon poll put his unfavorable-favorable rating at 49-38. The lowest Reid's popularity had slipped before in the surveys was 50 percent -- in October, August and May of 2009, when Mason-Dixon started tracking the senate race for the Review-Journal.Of course, with numbers like these, most politicians would bow out rather than go ahead with an election. But not Harry Reid:
The poll also took a snapshot of how Reid would do against three potential GOP opponents. In each case -- as in past Review-Journal surveys -- it showed the senator would lose with only four in 10 voters supporting him. The potential match-ups would look like this:
• Sue Lowden, former Nevada Republican Party chairwoman, would get 50 percent of the vote to Reid's 40 percent with 10 percent undecided.
• Danny Tarkanian, a businessman and former UNLV basketball star, would gain 49 percent of the vote to Reid's 41 percent.
• And Sharron Angle, a former Reno assemblywoman, would get 45 percent of the vote to Reid's 40 percent, a strong showing given her low name recognition statewide -- 42 percent don't know her.
"I am absolutely running for re-election," said Reid, 70, in a statement. "These are difficult times for Nevada and as the majority leader of the Senate I have been able to take action to address those challenges. But I know there is more work to do to turn our state's economy around and create jobs and I am committed to seeing it through."Even Reid's campaign manager Brandon Hall is optimistic about the 2010 election:
''He's never backed down from a fight,'' said in an interview when asked whether Reid would retire instead of seeking a fifth Senate term. He added, ''We're not trying to win a beauty contest here.''Despite the optimism of Harry Reid and his campaign staff, Brad Coker, the managing partner of Mason-Dixon, said this about his chances of winning in 2010:
Reid's campaign manager Hall said internal polls show the senator winning the general election against any potential opponent, but he refused to share any details.
The senator's negatives are so bad that he will have a tough time making a comeback and earning more than 40 percent of the vote come November.The 2010 election is only ten months away. Harry Reid could make a last minute comeback but the poll numbers for Harry Reid is pretty grim.